Ryan Shumaker, Smartvestor Pro at The Retirement Team
Typically when you fail to plan, you are planning to fail. It’s best to have a plan before trouble comes, rather than make emotional decisions on the fly during times of duress as this often leads to the exact wrong decision. Incredibly nearly 1/3 of investors 65+ (a group typically in or near retirement) sold 100% of their investments in stocks or stock mutual funds between February and May of this year; a time in which stocks were down significantly.
Since stocks hit their bottom at the end of March, many popular US stock market indexes have seen gains between 40%-60%, as of last month. It is clear that many that sold exactly at the wrong time are still sitting on the sidelines too in cash or money market funds given that there is now currently more money in money market funds than there ever has been in history. In fact, there is nearly twice the amount sitting in cash right now than there was just 5 years ago.
Certainly ‘selling low’ and ‘buying high’ is not a good investment strategy, but unfortunately it is one that far too many that are close to or in retirement are following. The bull market that began in March of 2009 and ended in March of this year is the longest one we’ve ever recorded in the United States. It likely left too many feeling far too confident. Now at the first sign of trouble when years of gains were wiped out very quickly, panic set in and those losses were locked in by many that sold everything.
It is important to always have a plan ahead of time for not only what to buy and when to buy it, but what to sell and when to sell it. It is also important for those near or in retirement to have a strategy and plan in place for what you’re going to do when markets fall and how you’re going to generate reliable income from your investments during such times. Unless you have a really short retirement it is not a question of if, but when and how many times the market will fall during your retirement. Relying on emotions to guide you on the fly rather than having a plan ahead of time will too often lead to poor outcomes.
Typically when someone first comes into our office they are positioned well if markets perpetually go up, but have no plan and will do poorly when they go sideways or down. It is important to create a plan for those two eventualities as again it is not a question of if, but when and how many times they will occur in the future. Knowing what you’re going to do ahead of time can help lead to better piece of mind, less worry, and less bad decision making, especially if the plan you have ahead of time ensures your retirement income stream will be unaffected by falling markets.
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If you are interested in getting such a plan created, our firm is scheduling new client meetings via phone, video conferencing, or in person. Whether or not there is a ‘second wave’ of the Coronavirus and/or a second selloff later this year should not impact a good, solid retirement plan as a good, solid retirement plan should have a strategy to deal with future market selloffs, regardless of if they’re caused by a disease or something else.
– Ryan Shumaker, Smartvester Pro at The Retirement Team; Ryan can be contacted at 785-228-0222 or RetireTopeka.com.
Material discussed is meant for general/informational purposes and is not intended to be used as the sole basis for any financial decisions, nor be construed as advice to meet your particular needs. Please consult a financial professional for further information.
Investment advisory services offered through Next Generation Investing, LLC.
Securities offered through World Equity Group, Inc. member FINRA and SIPC.
Next Generation Investing, LLC, & The Retirement Team are not owned or controlled by World Equity Group.
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